📱 eBook en inglés ILLUSION OF DUE

The Gambler's Fallacy and the Dangerous Human Need to Find Patterns in Randomness

ARTHUR PENHALIGON

epubli- 9783565274369

Psicología Neuropsicología

Sinopsis de ILLUSION OF DUE

On August 18, 1913, at the Monte Carlo Casino, the roulette ball landed on black. Then it landed on black again. And again. By the fifteenth time in a row, the crowd was in a frenzy. Gamblers rushed to bet millions of francs on red, absolutely convinced that after so many blacks, red was mathematically "due" to hit. It landed on black twenty-six times in a row, bankrupting everyone who believed the wheel had a memory.
This legendary disaster perfectly encapsulates the Gamblers Fallacy: the deeply ingrained, irrational belief that independent random events will somehow self-correct. Our brains are master pattern-recognition machines, evolutionarily designed to find meaning in chaos. But when applied to sheer probability, this survival trait becomes a devastating cognitive flaw. We assume that flipping five tails in a row means a head is guaranteed next, ignoring the cold fact that the coin does not remember the previous flips.
This eye-opening psychological journey breaks down the math of probability and the biology of superstition. It reveals how the Gamblers Fallacy sabotages far more than just casino bets, severely corrupting how judges hand down sentences, how investors buy stocks, and how HR managers hire employees.
Break free from the illusion of destiny. Learn to short-circuit your brains desperation for patterns, embrace the cold reality of randomness, and make logical decisions in a chaotic world.

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Ficha técnica


Editorial: Epubli

ISBN: 9783565274369

Idioma: Inglés

Fecha de lanzamiento: 26/02/2026

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